文章摘要
宁夏西海固地区“互联网+城乡供水”模式的 健康效应研究
Analysis of Health Effects of the “Internet Plus Rural-Urban Water Supply” Model in the Ningxia Xihaigu Region
投稿时间:2025-07-01  修订日期:2026-01-27
DOI:
中文关键词: 多期双重差分模型  互联网+城乡供水  健康效应  宁夏西海固地区  政策评估
英文关键词: multiple-period difference-in-differences (DID) model  internet plus rural-urban water supply  health effects  Ningxia Xihaigu region
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目),青年基金项目(42307558,51409159);清华大学-宁夏银川水联网数字治水联合研究院院长基金项目(SKL-IOW-2024TC2402)
作者单位邮编
吴浓娣 水利部发展研究中心 100038
罗琳* 水利部发展研究中心 100038
王忠静 清华大学 
李聪聪 水利部发展研究中心 
吴宇涵 中国人民大学财政金融学院 
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中文摘要:
      农村饮水安全政策效应评估是乡村振兴、水安全保障和公共卫生领域的重要议题,为精准识别供水工程及相关政策实施的健康效应,以宁夏西海固地区为例,聚焦宁夏中南部城乡饮水安全工程实施及“互联网+城乡供水”彭阳模式应用的受益情况,采用多期双重差分模型定量评估,合理选取研究实验组、对照组和分析时段,基于宁夏2013-2019年县级面板数据,选取地区平均死亡率为被解释变量,构建包含人口、经济、环境、教育、医疗等多维度控制变量的模型框架,并通过动态效应检验、安慰剂检验等方法验证了基准回归方案结果的稳健性。实证研究表明:城乡供水工程及相关政策干预使受益县(区)居民死亡率较西海固其他县(区)平均显著下降0.75‰,政策效应可持续4-5年产生积极影响。西海固地区城乡供水政策干预对死亡率降低的贡献,仅略小于人均地方公共财政支出和汉族人口占比变量的影响,大于每千人口执业医师数、小学毕业率等其他变量的影响,是对居民健康有显著影响的关键驱动因素。评估结果为类似供水政策效应分析提供实证依据,为农村供水高质量发展科学决策提供了有力支撑,建议进一步推广城乡供水工程覆盖范围和应用“互联网+城乡供水”模式,加强政策协同、推行专业化运营、强化数字治理和政策量化评估,协同推进供水现代化与健康效益提升。
英文摘要:
      The evaluation of the effect of rural drinking water safety policy is an important issue in the field of rural revitalization, water security and public health. In order to accurately identify the health effects of water supply projects and related policy implementation, this paper takes Xihaigu region of Ningxia as an example, focusing on the implementation of rural-urban drinking water safety projects in central and southern Ningxia and the benefit of the application of " Internet + rural-urban water supply " Pengyang model. The difference-in-differences (DID) model is used for quantitative evaluation, and the experimental group, control group and analysis period are reasonably selected. Based on the county-level panel data of Ningxia from 2013 to 2019, the average mortality rate of the region is selected as the explanatory variable. A model framework including multi-dimensional control variables such as population, economy, environment, education and medical care is constructed, and the robustness of the results of the benchmark regression scheme is verified by dynamic effect test, placebo test and other methods. The empirical research shows that the rural-urban water supply project and related policy intervention have significantly reduced the mortality rate of residents in the beneficiary counties ( districts ) by 0.75 ‰ on average compared with other counties ( districts ) in Xihaigu, and the policy effect can continue for 4-5 years to have a positive impact. The contribution of rural-urban water supply policy intervention to the reduction of mortality in Xihaigu region is only slightly smaller than the impact of per capita local public expenditure and the proportion of Han population, and greater than the impact of other variables such as the number of practicing physicians per thousand population and the primary school graduation rate. It is a key driver that has a significant impact on residents ' health. The evaluation results provide an empirical basis for the analysis of the effects of similar water supply policies, and provide strong support for scientific decision-making on the high-quality development of rural water supply. It is recommended to further promote the coverage of rural-urban water supply projects and the application of the ' Internet + rural-urban water supply ' model, strengthen policy coordination, implement professional operations, strengthen digital governance and policy quantitative evaluation, and jointly promote water supply modernization and health benefits.
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