| 任康,张睿,黄强.基于大语言模型的水库群防洪调度规则标准化及特征研究[J].水利学报,2025,56(9):1166-1177 |
| 基于大语言模型的水库群防洪调度规则标准化及特征研究 |
| Standardization of reservoir groups operating rules and analysis of their characteristics using large language models |
| 投稿时间：2025-01-21 修订日期：2025-08-29 |
| DOI：10.13243/j.cnki.slxb.20250042 |
| 中文关键词: 水库群 联合调度 大语言模型 决策树 特征分析 |
| 英文关键词: reservoir groups joint operation large language model decision tree feature analysis |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目（52309025） |
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| 摘要点击次数: 52 |
| 全文下载次数: 36 |
| 中文摘要: |
| 水库调度规则通常以自然语言形式描述调度原则、目标和限制条件，存在格式不一、术语差异、结构随意等问题，限制了调度规则的标准化和数字化。以长江流域控制性水库群为研究对象，建立了本地化部署的千问大语言模型，将防洪调度规则的文本描述标准化为具有明确结构的决策树形式；提出了基于决策树深度和节点的调度规则复杂度度量方法，揭示了调度规则关键决策变量及决策复杂度与水库群特征之间的关联模式。结果表明，决策树调度规则相比文本描述，提供了更加直观、易用的调度规则；不同水库的调度规则在决策复杂度上存在显著差异，与水库群的多数特征变量相关性较低；虽然水库群特征在空间上呈现一定聚类趋势，但与决策复杂度的关联较弱；长江流域控制性水库群的联合调度方案应面向顶层设计，减少水库间调度规则的不一致性，推动调度规则的标准化和数字化。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Reservoir operating rules are often described in natural language，outlining operating principles，objectives，and constraints. However，these descriptions typically suffer from inconsistencies in format，terminological discrepancies，and a lack of clear structure，which present significant challenges for the standardization and digital processing of these rules. This study focuses on the controlled reservoir groups in the Yangtze River Basin and utilizes a locally deployed large language model to standardize the text-based flood control operating rules into well-structured decision tree representations. A method to measure the complexity of these operating rules was proposed by analyzing decision tree depth and nodes，thereby uncovering the relationship between key decision variables，their complexity， and the characteristics of reservoir groups. The results indicate that decision tree-based operating rules provide a more intuitive and user-friendly framework for operating，in contrast to traditional text descriptions. Significant differences in operating rule complexity were observed across different reservoirs，though the correlation with most characteristic variables of the reservoir groups was found to be low. While spatial clustering patterns in reservoir group features were identified，their connection to decision complexity remained weak. The joint operating plan for the controlled reservoir groups in the Yangtze River Basin should prioritize top-level design to minimize inconsistencies in operating rules across reservoirs，thus advancing the standardization and digitization of these rules. |
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