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Researchonthecoordinatedregulationofwaterresources - food - energy - ecology
inBeijing - Tianjin - HebeiregionⅡ:Application
1
1
1
1,2
ZHAOYong,CHANGHuanyu ,SANGXuefeng,HEGuohua,
1
1
WANGQingming,JIANGShan
(1.StateKeyLaboratoryofSimulationandRegulationofWaterCycleinRiverBasin,
ChinaInstituteofWaterResourcesandHydropowerResearch,Beijing 100038,China;
2.DepartmentofHydraulicEngineering,TsinghuaUniversity,Beijing 100084,China)
Abstract:TheBeijing - Tianjin - Hebeiregionisoneoftheregionswiththemostprominentjointriskandthemost
significantrelationshipbetweenwater - food - energy - ecologyinChina.Accordingtothecharacteristicsofthesystem
andthepracticalneedsofwaterresourcesmanagementintheregion ,thecoordinatedregulationmodelofwater -
food - energy - ecologycouplingsystemwasconstructed,thestatusofthesystemwasidentified,thefuturewassim
ulatedbymulti - scenarioregulation,andtheBeijing - Tianjin - Hebeicoordinatedregulationschemewasproposed
basedontheperspectiveofwater - food - energy - ecologycouplingsystem.Theresultsshowthatthebalanceofwater
supplyanddemandinBeijing - Tianjin - Hebeiregionismaintainedbytheoverexploitationofgroundwaterandthe
overuseofecologicalwaterinriversandlakes.Undertheguaranteeofthebalanceofwater - food - energy - ecology
couplingsystem ,evenifthephase Ⅰ projectoftheMiddleLineoftheSouth - to - NorthWaterDiversionProject
3
reacheseffectiveoperation,thereisstilladestructivewatershortageof3.09billionm .Throughthedeductive
regulationoffuturescenariosfrom threeaspectsofdemandchange ,ecologicalsecurityandsupplycapacity,this
papergivesthescenariotoensurethecoordinateddevelopmentofwater - food - energy - ecologycouplingsystem in
Beijing - Tianjin - Hebeiregionin2035.Fromtheperspectiveoffuturewaterresourcesattenuationandwaterreceiv
ingareademand ,theproposedannualwatertransferscaleofthefollow - upprojectoftheMiddleandEastLineof
3
theSouth - to - NorthWaterDiversionProject (SNWDP)toBeijing - Tianjin - Hebeiregionis4.62billionm ~6
3
billionm .
Keywords:Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei;water - food - energy - ecology;deductivescenariosetting;coordinatedregu
lation ;SNWDPfollow - upscale
(责任编辑:于福亮)
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