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                       Researchonthecoordinatedregulationofwaterresources - food - energy - ecology
                                     inBeijing - Tianjin - HebeiregionⅡ:Application

                                          1
                                                                           1
                                                                                        1
                                                           1,2
                               ZHAOYong,CHANGHuanyu ,SANGXuefeng,HEGuohua,
                                                             1
                                                                          1
                                              WANGQingming,JIANGShan
                                 (1.StateKeyLaboratoryofSimulationandRegulationofWaterCycleinRiverBasin,
                                 ChinaInstituteofWaterResourcesandHydropowerResearch,Beijing 100038,China;
                                2.DepartmentofHydraulicEngineering,TsinghuaUniversity,Beijing 100084,China)
                  Abstract:TheBeijing - Tianjin - Hebeiregionisoneoftheregionswiththemostprominentjointriskandthemost
                  significantrelationshipbetweenwater - food - energy - ecologyinChina.Accordingtothecharacteristicsofthesystem
                  andthepracticalneedsofwaterresourcesmanagementintheregion ,thecoordinatedregulationmodelofwater -
                  food - energy - ecologycouplingsystemwasconstructed,thestatusofthesystemwasidentified,thefuturewassim
                  ulatedbymulti - scenarioregulation,andtheBeijing - Tianjin - Hebeicoordinatedregulationschemewasproposed
                  basedontheperspectiveofwater - food - energy - ecologycouplingsystem.Theresultsshowthatthebalanceofwater
                  supplyanddemandinBeijing - Tianjin - Hebeiregionismaintainedbytheoverexploitationofgroundwaterandthe
                  overuseofecologicalwaterinriversandlakes.Undertheguaranteeofthebalanceofwater - food - energy - ecology
                  couplingsystem ,evenifthephase Ⅰ projectoftheMiddleLineoftheSouth - to - NorthWaterDiversionProject
                                                                                    3
                  reacheseffectiveoperation,thereisstilladestructivewatershortageof3.09billionm .Throughthedeductive
                  regulationoffuturescenariosfrom threeaspectsofdemandchange ,ecologicalsecurityandsupplycapacity,this
                  papergivesthescenariotoensurethecoordinateddevelopmentofwater - food - energy - ecologycouplingsystem in
                  Beijing - Tianjin - Hebeiregionin2035.Fromtheperspectiveoffuturewaterresourcesattenuationandwaterreceiv
                  ingareademand ,theproposedannualwatertransferscaleofthefollow - upprojectoftheMiddleandEastLineof
                                                                                                    3
                  theSouth - to - NorthWaterDiversionProject (SNWDP)toBeijing - Tianjin - Hebeiregionis4.62billionm ~6
                        3
                  billionm .
                  Keywords:Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei;water - food - energy - ecology;deductivescenariosetting;coordinatedregu
                  lation ;SNWDPfollow - upscale

                                                                                    (责任编辑:于福亮)




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