Page 109 - 2025年第56卷第9期
P. 109
了特大干旱情景下供水侧极限调控生态经济效应能值量化体系,解析调控措施与生态经济效应之间的
响应关系。以楚雄州 2009—2012 年特大干旱事件为例,计算结果表明:特大干旱情景下供水侧调控虽
然会产生生态经济负效应,但总体上调控效益大于调控损失。综合讨论发现特大干旱情景下供水系统
调控措施与增供水量、调控正负效应之间的关系较为复杂,不同地区水源条件不一致,调控措施及优
先序的选择也不同。厘清当地供水系统调控措施、增供水量及与生态经济效应的响应关系,因地制
宜、科学决策,才能有效减轻特大干旱带来的灾害损失。
参 考 文 献:
[ 1 ] 蒋云钟,严子奇,贾绍凤,等 . 全球变化背景下特大干旱综合应对研究框架[J] 水利学报,2023,54(3):
.
347-357.
[ 2 ] 付平凡,孙洪泉,苏志诚,等 . 基于 EM-DAT 数据的全球干旱灾害链分析研究[J] 中国水利水电科学研究
.
院学报(中英文),2023,21(3):287-294,306.
[ 3 ] WATTS G, CHRISTIERSON B V, HANNAFORD J, et al. Testing the resilience of water supply systems to long
.
droughts[J] Journal of Hydrology,2012,414:255-267.
[ 4 ] KUMAR V,VASTO-TERRIENTES L D,VALLS A,et al. Adaptation strategies for water supply management in a
drought prone Mediterranean river basin: Application of outranking method[J] Science of the Total Environment,
.
2016,540:344-357.
[ 5 ] 赵勇,常奂宇,李海红,等 . 缺水胁迫区水系统优化调控理论与模式[J] 水利学报,2024,55(2):202-
.
213,225.
[ 6 ] LV C M, LING M H, WU Z N, et al. Quantitative assessment of ecological compensation for groundwater overex⁃
ploitation based on emergy theory[J] Environmental Geochemistry and Health,2020,42(3):733-744.
.
[ 7 ] 吴泽宁,吕翠美,胡彩虹,等 . 水资源生态经济价值能值分析理论方法与应用[M] 北京:科学出版社,
.
2013.
[ 8 ] 肖雪,李清清,陈述 . 基于高质量供需平衡的区域水资源优化调控方案—以京津冀地区为例[J] 人民长江,
.
2022,53(8):100-105.
[ 9 ] HAROU J J,MEDELLÍN-AZUAR J,ZHU T,et al. Economic consequences of optimized water management for a
.
prolonged,severe drought in California[J] Water Resources Research,2010,46(5):W05522.
[ 10] 杜玉娟 . 2014 年河南省白龟山水库动用死库容应急供水实践[J] 中国防汛抗旱,2015,25(2):42-44.
.
[ 11] TABARI M,SOLTANI J. Multi-objective optimal model for conjunctive use management using SGAs and NSGA-II
.
Models[J] Water Resources Management,2013,27(1):37-53.
[ 12] 李翠梅,吴健荣,王建华,等 . 基于多目标规划的城市水资源应急管理模型研究[J] 资源科学,2013,35
.
(8):1584-1592.
[ 13] MOLINOS-SENANTE M, HERNÁNDEZ-SANCHO F, SALA-GARRIDO R. Cost-benefit analysis of water-reuse
projects for environmental purposes: A case study for Spanish wastewater treatment plants[J] Journal of Environ⁃
.
mental Management,2011,92(12):3091-3097.
[ 14] KANDULU J M, MACDONALD D H, DANDY G, et al. Ecosystem service impacts of urban water supply and
demand management[J] Water Resources Management,2017,31(15):4785-4799.
.
.
[ 15] ODUM H T. Self-organization,transformity and infonnation[J] Science,1988:1132-1139.
[ 16] SUN G, YANG Y, CHENG S, et al. Phreatic line calculation and stability analysis of slopes under the combined
.
effect of reservoir water level fluctuations and rainfall[J] Canadian Geotechnical Journal,2017,54(5):631-645.
.
[ 17] 吕翠美 . 区域水资源生态经济价值的能值研究[D] 郑州:郑州大学,2009.
[ 18] YU B, ZHANG C, JIANG Y, et al. Conjunctive use of inter-basin transferred and desalinated water in a multi-
.
source water supply system based on cost-benefit analysis[J] Water Resources Management, 2017, 31: 3313-
3328.
[ 19] VAN D S, LOUNSBURY A W, HOEKSTRA A Y, et al. Strategic design and finance of rainwater harvesting to
.
cost-effectively meet large-scale urban water infrastructure needs[J] Water Research,2020,184:116063.
— 1213 —

